Primary results: Kevin Kiley 39.7%, Kermit Jones 38.7%īefore the state’s electoral map was redrawn, the foothills from Gold County to Kings Canyon were the domain of longtime Republican Rep. Voter registration: 38.1% Republican, 33.3% Democratic, 19.6% no party preference The scoop Those suburbs are where most of the district’s voters live. Watch a video of the event here.Roughly the size of West Virginia, this district runs up the rain-shadowed eastern side of the Sierra, from Death Valley to Lassen National Forest, before spilling out of the mountains into the foothills northeast of Sacramento. Segura thanked UCLA School of Law Dean Jennifer Mnookin for playing a key role in bringing the event to UCLA. ![]() Jennifer Steinhauer, the New York Times editor of live journalism, offered opening remarks, as did UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs Dean Gary Segura. “That is a really important question, and one that does not get talked about enough for 2018,” Haberman said. In response to one of several audience questions, Haberman also said that potential efforts by Russia to influence the 2018 mid-terms should be getting more attention.Īssuming that federal intelligence agencies are correct in determining that Russia meddled, she said, and that the meddling had an impact, then we should expect Russia will attempt to influence American elections again. ![]() Asked if the White House expects the special counsel to eventually issue a scathing report, she said simply, “Yeah.” Mueller is likely to decide soon whether to subpoena or indict a sitting president, issue a report on the campaign’s ties with Russia, or delay significant action until after the mid-terms. Haberman, who was part of a Pulitzer Prize-winning team of journalists recognized for its coverage of the White House and the Russia investigation, said that the president has stalled on Mueller’s request for an interview for as long as possible, and that the odds that the president will sit for an interview with the special counsel are “less than zero.” Yet a huge storm cloud hovering over the political landscape has yet to burst, the panelists said: the outcome of special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation into possible ties between the Trump campaign and Russian meddling in the 2016 election. Cohn said that roughly as many California Democrats voted in the June primary as voted in the November 2014 general election, which portends a far greater turnout in the fall. ![]() This includes John Cox, the GOP nominee for governor of California.Īt the same time, the president’s divisive rhetoric and nationalist policies are generating energy on the political left that is encouraging for Democrats who hope to retake control of the House of Representatives. Nate Cohn, a correspondent focusing on polling and demographics for the Upshot, the New York Times’ data-driven news vertical, said that candidates most strongly aligned with Trump can expect to draw support from a solid base of 35 percent to 37 percent of the general electorate in November. While Democrats are a house divided, the GOP “is becoming a party of one person,” Nagourney said. “The amount of authentic, organic female energy on the Democratic side is huge, and I think this is an example of it,” she said. Haberman, who covers the White House, added that it is notable that the candidate who beat Crowley is a woman. Bernie Sanders campaigned on in 2016, and traditionalists symbolized by Crowley. “If I was a moderate Democrat facing a primary, I would be really scared,” said Nagourney, the newspaper’s Los Angeles bureau chief, referencing the split in the Democratic Party between the left-leaning wing that embraces the views that Vermont Sen. Joe Crowley, a 10-term congressman who was considered a possible replacement for Democratic House Leader Nancy Pelosi, was toppled Tuesday by newcomer Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the New York Democratic primary. Nearly 400 people filled Korn Convocation Hall at the UCLA Anderson School of Management for “The Midterm Elections 2018: Prospects for Los Angeles, California and the Nation,” which featured Times journalists Alex Burns, Nate Cohn, Maggie Haberman and Adam Nagourney.įresh evidence of political turmoil had come in just before the event started, when U.S. That was the assessment of national political reporters from The New York Times during a panel presentation held at UCLA on June 26. ![]() President Trump is not on the ballot in 2018, but his ascendance and reverberations from the 2016 presidential election will dominate congressional races across the country in November.
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